{"id":1523,"date":"2020-03-19T15:52:37","date_gmt":"2020-03-19T12:52:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.klimik.org.tr\/koronavirus\/?p=1523"},"modified":"2020-03-19T15:52:37","modified_gmt":"2020-03-19T12:52:37","slug":"ingiltere-olum-vakalarinin-artmasi-endisesiyle-stratejisini-nasil-degistirdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.klimik.org.tr\/koronavirus\/ingiltere-olum-vakalarinin-artmasi-endisesiyle-stratejisini-nasil-degistirdi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ngiltere \u00d6l\u00fcm Vakalar\u0131n\u0131n Artmas\u0131 Endi\u015fesiyle Stratejisini Nas\u0131l De\u011fi\u015ftirdi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"story-body__introduction\"><\/h3>\n<p>17 Mart 2020<\/p>\n<p class=\"story-body__introduction\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-81692 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.klimik.org.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/BBC.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"80\" height=\"30\" \/><strong>Koronavirus salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l yay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, hastanelerin salg\u0131nla nas\u0131l ba\u015f edece\u011fi, ka\u00e7 ki\u015finin \u00f6lece\u011fine ili\u015fkin modellemeler yapan ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131n bulgular\u0131, \u0130ngiltere&#8217;de virusa kar\u015f\u0131 al\u0131nacak \u00f6nlemler konusunda h\u00fck\u00fcmetin strateji de\u011fi\u015ftirmesine neden oldu.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0130ngiltere h\u00fck\u00fcmeti d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nlemlerle halktan gerekli olmad\u0131k\u00e7a kalabal\u0131k yerlere gitmemelerini, m\u00fcmk\u00fcnse evden \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya ba\u015flamalar\u0131n\u0131, risk grubundakilerin, 70 ya\u015f \u00fczerindekilerin ve hamile kad\u0131nlar\u0131n evde kalmas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Bu \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar Ba\u015fbakan Boris Johnson ve ekibinin \u00f6nceki \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha farkl\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>H\u00fck\u00fcmetin politikas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftiren geli\u015fme, bilim insanlar\u0131n\u0131n modellemelerinde, &#8220;D\u00fcmen k\u0131r\u0131n, yoksa bir milyon ki\u015fi \u00f6lecek&#8221; mesaj\u0131n\u0131n verilmesiydi.<\/p>\n<p>Oysa di\u011fer bilim insanlar\u0131 ve D\u00fcnya Sa\u011fl\u0131k \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc, virusu durdurmak i\u00e7in geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 \u00f6nlemler al\u0131nmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 durumda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak riskler konusunda uyar\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7oktan yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ngiltere&#8217;de de uyar\u0131 i\u00e7eren veriler, Londra Imperial College \u00dcniversitesi&#8217;ndeki ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lardan geldi. Onlar \u00c7in&#8217;deki sorunun boyutunun fark\u0131na varm\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ve tavsiyeleri h\u00fck\u00fcmet politikalar\u0131 \u00fczerinde etkili olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dc\u00e7 strateji geli\u015ftirdiler:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"story-body__unordered-list\">\n<li class=\"story-body__list-item\"><strong>Bask\u0131lama:\u00a0<\/strong>Bula\u015fma zincirini k\u0131rmak, salg\u0131n\u0131 daha ba\u015f\u0131nda durdurmak ve \u00c7in&#8217;in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi vaka say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 asgariye indirmek.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul class=\"story-body__unordered-list\">\n<li class=\"story-body__list-item\"><strong>Yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131rma:<\/strong> Virusu durduramayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 kabul edip yay\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatmak ve b\u00f6ylece bir andaki vaka say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131k sistemini \u00e7\u00f6kertecek boyutlara ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemek, bu arada hastanelerde risk gruplar\u0131na a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verilmesi &#8211; ge\u00e7en hafta \u0130ngiltere&#8217;nin uygulayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 strateji i\u015fte buydu.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul class=\"story-body__unordered-list\">\n<li class=\"story-body__list-item\"><strong>Hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yapmamak:\u00a0<\/strong>Virusun insanlara bula\u015fmas\u0131na seyirci kalmak.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>H\u00fck\u00fcmete bilim alan\u0131nda tavsiyelerde bulunan dan\u0131\u015fman Patrick Vallance, &#8220;yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131rma&#8221; plan\u0131n\u0131 BBC&#8217;ye \u015f\u00f6yle a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Amac\u0131m\u0131z vakalar\u0131n zirve noktas\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da tutmak ve o \u00e7izgide seyretmesini sa\u011flamak, yoksa t\u00fcm\u00fcyle bast\u0131rmak de\u011fil. Ayr\u0131ca, n\u00fcfusun b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131 hastal\u0131\u011f\u0131 hafif \u015fekilde atlataca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in s\u00fcr\u00fc ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 geli\u015ftirilmi\u015f olacak ve b\u00f6ylece bu hastal\u0131\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131 ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131k olacak.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>E\u011fer yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131rma i\u015fe yarasayd\u0131 di\u011fer \u00fclkelerde uygulanan sert \u00f6nlemlere gerek kalmayacak ve ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k geli\u015fmi\u015f, bu da koronavirusun yay\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlam\u0131\u015f olacakt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131rma stratejisi ki\u015filerin biraz di\u011fer insanlardan uzak durmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektiriyor, bask\u0131lama ise hareket s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131 ve daha uzun s\u00fcreli izolasyon gibi kat\u0131 \u00f6nlemler i\u00e7eriyor.<\/p>\n<p>Yap\u0131lan modellemede, \u0130ngiltere&#8217;nin hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yapmamas\u0131 halinde A\u011fustos&#8217;a kadar n\u00fcfusun y\u00fczde 81&#8217;ine virusun bula\u015fmas\u0131, 510 bin ki\u015finin de \u00f6lmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyordu.<\/p>\n<p>Yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131rma stratejisi daha iyi olmakla birlikte hala 250 bin ki\u015finin \u00f6lmesi ve hastanelerde yo\u011fun bak\u0131m \u00fcnitelerinin \u00e7\u00f6kmesi s\u00f6z konusu.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/turkce\/haberler-dunya-51927577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Haberin Devam\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in T\u0131klay\u0131n\u0131z<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>17 Mart 2020 Koronavirus salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l yay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, hastanelerin salg\u0131nla nas\u0131l ba\u015f edece\u011fi, ka\u00e7 ki\u015finin \u00f6lece\u011fine ili\u015fkin modellemeler yapan ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131n bulgular\u0131, \u0130ngiltere&#8217;de virusa kar\u015f\u0131 al\u0131nacak \u00f6nlemler konusunda h\u00fck\u00fcmetin strateji de\u011fi\u015ftirmesine neden oldu. \u0130ngiltere h\u00fck\u00fcmeti d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nlemlerle halktan gerekli olmad\u0131k\u00e7a kalabal\u0131k yerlere gitmemelerini, m\u00fcmk\u00fcnse evden \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya ba\u015flamalar\u0131n\u0131, risk grubundakilerin, 70 ya\u015f \u00fczerindekilerin ve hamile kad\u0131nlar\u0131n evde kalmas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Bu \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar Ba\u015fbakan Boris Johnson ve ekibinin \u00f6nceki \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha farkl\u0131yd\u0131. H\u00fck\u00fcmetin politikas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftiren geli\u015fme, bilim insanlar\u0131n\u0131n modellemelerinde, &#8220;D\u00fcmen k\u0131r\u0131n, yoksa bir milyon ki\u015fi \u00f6lecek&#8221; mesaj\u0131n\u0131n verilmesiydi. Oysa di\u011fer bilim insanlar\u0131 ve D\u00fcnya Sa\u011fl\u0131k \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc, virusu durdurmak i\u00e7in geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 \u00f6nlemler al\u0131nmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":1524,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.klimik.org.tr\/koronavirus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1523"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.klimik.org.tr\/koronavirus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.klimik.org.tr\/koronavirus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.klimik.org.tr\/koronavirus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.klimik.org.tr\/koronavirus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1523"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.klimik.org.tr\/koronavirus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1523\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1525,"href":"https:\/\/www.klimik.org.tr\/koronavirus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1523\/revisions\/1525"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.klimik.org.tr\/koronavirus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1524"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.klimik.org.tr\/koronavirus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1523"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.klimik.org.tr\/koronavirus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1523"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.klimik.org.tr\/koronavirus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1523"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}